Dan Fylstra has been involved in the PC industry since its inception. He was founding Associate Editor of BYTE Magazine in 1975, and founder of VisiCorp, the marketer of VisiCalc, in 1979. He is currently president of PC software vendor Frontline Systems, Inc.
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This editorial cartoon by Gary Brookins matches my sentiments.
Last year, Netscape and several other PC industry companies appealed to our government to help them in their fight against Microsoft, whom they felt was using its market power with Windows to gain an unfair advantage in the browser wars. Our federal and state governments have responded, and the results are everywhere in the daily news. I'd like to comment, not about Netscape or Microsoft, but about the politicization of our industry, what it means for our future, and what fundamental choices we can make going forward.
Somehow, things are not working out quite the way we expected: As I'm writing this, we're waiting to find out whether the Justice Department and/or a dozen state attorneys general will file lawsuits to stop the shipment of Windows 98 -- a decision which will impact the fortunes of not just Microsoft, but literally thousands of smaller companies, hundreds of thousands of us who make our living in the computer industry, and tens of millions of consumers. And there are strong hints that the government will soon launch an antitrust action against Intel. (Intel? What did they do? Among other things, they paid out money to PC makers who put the "Intel Inside" logo on their machines.) Now, in countless trade press articles, columns and editorials, people are asking: Should the government be involved? Will they do the right thing -- whatever that is? And how will it impact us? Have we opened Pandora's box?
My answer is yes -- we've opened Pandora's box, and it will prove impossible to close it. Our industry is being politicized. Henceforth, it won't be enough to design and build great products, and sell them at attractive prices. We'll also have to compete in the political sphere. And that will take time and money, which will be siphoned off from product development and marketing. We'll have to worry about whether we have enough influence in Washington, and in our state capitols. Have we hired the right lobbyists -- donated to the right PACs -- hobnobbed with the right politicians? Will we get our share of any government largess, and can we sneak in our special exemption from the latest tax or regulation?
There will be a new pecking order, defined by the amount of political influence enjoyed by various companies, trade associations and other groups. And who is likely to come out on top of this new pecking order: The startups with the hottest new technology, or the established companies who've had the time to develop their political connections?
Let's be blunt: It's pretty obvious that in today's White House and Congress, influence can be bought, and the price tag isn't all that high by our industry's standards. If a night in the Lincoln bedroom goes for $50,000 and a seat on a Commerce Department trade mission is just $100,000, the established leaders in the PC industry ought to be able to afford plenty of influence. As for the small and medium-sized companies, well -- if you can't afford to pay, you can't afford to play.
And who can afford the most influence? Which company is responding to the pressure brought upon it by drastically stepping up its lobbying efforts and political contributions? Microsoft, of course. Bill Gates is no dummy, and he's said it quite explicitly: He used to think that all he had to do was design and build great products. Now he realizes that that attitude was "naive." The folks who hate Microsoft, the 800-pound gorilla in a relatively free market, should be worrying about the future Microsoft, the gorilla with so much political influence -- so many senators and congressmen in its back pocket -- that it's practically untouchable. No, this won't happen next month or next quarter -- but what about four years from now, given our politics today?
We've worried about the market power of a few companies like Microsoft, but we haven't anticipated how the true coercive power of government might be used for or against us. After all, you don't have to buy Windows 98, and many people won't. But you do have to pay your taxes, or go to jail -- to finance things like the federal Market Promotion Program, which pays for McDonald's hamburger ads overseas today, and -- who knows? -- might pay for Microsoft's browser ads overseas tomorrow.
Most of us cling to the notion, or at least the hope, that the Justice Department or the state attorneys general will somehow act intelligently in the public interest, and things will turn out OK. We've never examined public choice theory, which predicts that in the public sector as in the private sector, key players will pursue their own self-interest, not the broad public interest. We need to recognize the state attorneys general for what they are: Political entrepreneurs who are simply riding the anti-Microsoft wave for all it's worth, seeking to advance their own careers. The results for consumers or for our industry are beside the point, as long as we are not that politically influential. Indeed, public choice theory predicts that a political system like ours will transfer wealth from the politically unorganized to the politically influential. The ideal outcome, from the politicians' viewpoint, is that we all become supplicants, on an ongoing basis, fighting among ourselves for the favors that only they can hand out.
Pandora's box is open. The impact of politics on our livelihoods is growing every day, and we don't know what to do about it. Most of us would rather avoid thinking about or spending time on politics -- we'd rather be creating new technology, and satisfying more customer wants and needs. Many of us, if asked, would echo the classic cry laissez faire -- leave us alone! But the politicians won't leave us alone. Because of our relative lack of sophistication and lack of involvement in politics, we are on the defensive. We're likely to end up on the short end of any compromise -- whether it's about strong encryption, Internet access and freedom of speech, electronic commerce and sales tax, you name it.
So, if Pandora's box is open, what are our choices? Continuing to ignore politics is not really an option -- because politics has arrived at our door. We can, of course, accept the politicization of our industry -- as some have already done -- and become supplicants. We can become active in "mainstream" politics, in either the Democratic or the Republican Party (is there any difference?), trying to move the politicians in a sensible direction, and hope for the best.
Or, we can apply some lessons from our own experience and try to gain leverage by investing in a startup. Not another high-tech company, but a political startup -- one that is capable of challenging the status quo. I'm thinking broadly of the Libertarian movement, and more narrowly about the Libertarian political party.
It's no secret that Libertarian ideas are popular on the Internet, or that they are showing up across our politics and culture with increasing frequency. But what practical difference would it make if the high-tech community were to embrace the Libertarian movement in a big way? I believe that if enough of us made this decision, it would fundamentally alter the future, both for our industry and for American politics.
For the high-tech community, an investment of time, energy and money stands to earn a far bigger share of the "Libertarian startup" than we will ever gain from the established political parties. Instead of being absorbed into the enormous pool of current political interest groups, we could play a major role from the beginning. It is already true that the Libertarians, on average, have a much deeper understanding of technology than the often-clueless Republicans and Democrats, and we could ensure that this remains true in the future.
As for the Libertarians, they can certainly use money, and in many cases they could benefit from the kind of professional management, and especially marketing savvy, that many of us in the high-tech community can provide. The Libertarian Party in particular has struggled for a long time at the margins of American politics. But the LP is currently enjoying an all-time high level of membership -- 25,000 -- and it is executing a "business plan" which is showing some early signs of success, and which aims for 200,000 contributing members by the year 2000. (This would be enough to make the LP competitive with the Democrats and Republicans, who typically have about 400,000 contributors in an election year.) It's certainly interesting that this plan includes ads in Wired Magazine and mailings to the BYTE Magazine subscriber list.
But most important, the Libertarians have the right ideas -- about the wisdom of relying on the market, about the futility of central planning, about the practical importance of liberty for innovation and growth, in our industry as well as others -- that I believe we'll have to embrace, sooner or later, if we want to realize the opportunities ahead of us in the twenty-first century. These ideas are important to everyone in our economy and culture, but they are critical to the computer industry. We have been held back, co-opted, and bamboozled for too long by today's very disappointing political leaders. It is time for us to get involved, grow our own new political leaders, and get them elected.
What would this mean in the long run? It would mean that we could worry less about politics. It would mean we could focus on creating new technology, designing and building great products, and meeting customers' needs and wants once again.
So what should we do? Start up our Web browsers, of course, and visit the Reason Foundation, the Cato Institute, the Advocates for Self-Government, or the "switchboard of the Libertarian movement," Free-Market.Net. To learn about the Libertarian Party, visit www.lp.org or call 800-272-1776.
I admit that as a political startup, the Libertarian movement may seem like a "long shot" compared to just coping as best we can with the Democrat - Republican duopoly. Just think of it as Apple versus Texas Instruments in 1978, or Microsoft versus IBM in 1982. In my view, the Libertarians may be the only real alternative we have to becoming just another industry that is caught up in the stasis of American politics -- the only way to get Hope out of the bottom of Pandora's box.
Today, Dan Fylstra is a contributor to a variety of Libertarian organizations, and is registered to vote Libertarian. In March 1998 he became the treasurer and webmaster for the Libertarian Party of Nevada. Comments are welcome -- Please email them to firstname.lastname@example.org.